POLLING LATEST – AT 9:31 A.M. ET:  A new CNN poll shows Trump five points behind Hillary.  That's not bad overall, but the internal numbers show a worsening position for Donald. 

Presidential elections aren't held nationally.   As you know, they're held state by state.  From CNN:

(CNN) Democrat Hillary Clinton tops Republican Donald Trump by a 47% to 42% margin in the race for the presidency, according to a CNN/ORC Poll released Tuesday, and just 22% of registered voters say their minds could change between now and November.

Clinton continues to lead Trump when Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party and Jill Stein of the Green Party are included in the list of options. Nationwide in that match-up, Clinton holds 42%, Trump 38%, Johnson 9% and Stein 7%.

Neither Johnson nor Stein is guaranteed a ballot slot in all states, but one or both will appear in several key competitive states, including Florida, Colorado and Ohio. Johnson will appear in a town hall on CNN this week.

And...

When asked whether they would be excited by a Trump or Clinton presidency, fewer than 3-in-10 muster that level of enthusiasm for either. More say they would be afraid (56% if Trump were elected, 46% Clinton) or embarrassed (56% if Trump won, 39% if Clinton did), and just a handful say they would be proud (35% say so about Clinton, 24% Trump). About half (47%) say they would be hopeful if Clinton won, while 44% say so if Trump were to win.

And...

(CNN) A new poll of three crucial battleground states shows Hillary leading the Donald Trump in Florida while the two are statistically tied in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

According to the Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday, the presumptive Democratic nominee has her largest lead in Florida, where she bests the presumptive Republican nominee 47% to 39%. But in Pennsylvania, where she leads Trump 41% to 40%, her edge falls within the poll's margin of error. And Clinton and Trump are tied 40% to 40% in Ohio.

If third party candidates are factored into the poll -- including Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein -- Clinton still leads Trump in Florida by 6 points and edges him in Ohio and Pennsylvania by 2 and 3 points, but both candidates receive lower total support. Johnson garners around 7-8% support, while Stein draws about 3-4% in each state.

COMMENT:  Imagine what a politically capable Republican nominee would be doing right now.  Trump has made every mistake in the book, and is still within shooting distance.  If he stops making mistakes, shooting off his mouth, blundering very day, he might actually win this thing. 

Trump fired his campaign manager yesterday, and we were promised a new direction.  Prove it to me.

June 21,  2016